Existing organic rankings
Rankings are the strongest accelerator for Google's AI surfaces and a meaningful one everywhere else. The 0.65 correlation between first-page rankings and AI mentions means a site that already ranks for its topic enters AEO with most of the groundwork done [7]. If you rank nowhere yet, budget your timeline around earning rankings first, because even among the minority of new pages that reach the top 10 at all, the trip usually takes two to six months [12].
Off-site brand mentions
Mentions of your brand on other sites, and especially on YouTube, predict AI visibility better than any on-site factor measured so far [8]. They are also the slowest input to change, since podcast appearances, reviews, industry roundups, and video coverage accumulate over quarters. Teams that start mention-building in month one tend to see the effect surface around months four to six, which is a large part of why consistent presence sits in that window.
Domain authority and age
Authority helps less than most teams assume. With Domain Rating correlating at only 0.266 to 0.326, a strong link profile does not by itself buy fast citations [8]. Where a new domain really pays is in accumulation lag: it starts with no rankings and no mention footprint, so both slow inputs begin from zero. That combination, not the authority score itself, is what pushes new domains toward the twelve-month end of the range [12].
Content depth and freshness cadence
Genuinely current, answer-shaped content shortens the wait; volume alone does not. Cited content runs 25.7% fresher than organic results [5], and recency windows vary sharply by industry: Seer found financial-services citations concentrated in very recent content while some evergreen sectors still drew AI attention to pages from 2004 [6]. Publishing more pages without depth moves almost nothing, since site page count correlated with AI visibility at just 0.194 [8]. A smaller set of thorough, regularly updated pages beats a large thin library on this clock.
Platform mix
Where you focus determines what results look like month to month. ChatGPT and Perplexity cite the freshest content and retrieve live, so they usually deliver the first wins [5][6]. AI Overviews behave more like organic search and arrive later, though not strictly on ranking's schedule: only 20 to 26% of AI Overview links come from the top 10 organic results, and over half of desktop AI Overviews skip the top organic result entirely [9]. Occasional AI Overview citations can therefore land before top rankings do, even though consistent presence still tracks organic strength [7].
Crawler access and technical readiness
Access problems override every other factor. A robots.txt rule that blocks OAI-SearchBot removes you from ChatGPT search results outright [3], and the same is true of PerplexityBot for Perplexity [4]. Fixes propagate in about a day on both platforms [3][4], and Google requires nothing beyond normal indexability and snippet eligibility [1]. Auditing access takes an afternoon and can rescue a timeline that looks stalled for mysterious reasons.